Analyzing the Influence of Budget Deficit Variations on Nigeria’s Macroeconomic Performance
Sr No:
Page No:
18-27
Language:
English
Authors:
Ndubuisi Eme Uguru* , Amos Williams
Received:
2025-04-06
Accepted:
2025-04-22
Published Date:
2025-04-25
Abstract:
The research investigates the influence of budget shortfalls on key
economic indicators in Nigeria. spanning the period from 1981 to 2022 through the
utilization of VAR analysis. The findings reveal that budget deficits negatively affect
the exchange rate in both the short and long run Moreover, they negatively influence
the real interest rate in the short term but exhibit a positive impact in the long run.
Furthermore, money supply responds unfavorably to budget deficit shocks in both
time frames. The study aligns with Keynesian principles and proposes the adoption of
restrictive measures in monetary, fiscal, and exchange rate policies to address
ongoing inflation and escalating interest rates.
Keywords:
Budget Deficit, Macroeconomic Variables, Vector-autoregresion JEL Classification: E03, H63, C32.