INTERRELATIONSHIP BETWEEN BUDGET DEFICIT AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN NIGERIA: IS IT INFLATIONARY?
Sr No:
Page No:
1-12
Language:
English
Authors:
Ngwobia, Ebubechukwu Udo, Ndubuisi Eme Uguru*, Akparanta Darlington Chika, Chukwunenye Iheukwumere
Received:
2025-04-16
Accepted:
2025-05-15
Published Date:
2025-05-04
Abstract:
The focus of the study was to ascertain the interrelationship between
budget deficit, inflation and economic growth in Nigeria. Various literatures were
reviewed. The study period span from 1991 to 2022. Various econometric tests such
as unit root test, cointegration test etc were employed. The study employed vector auto
regression model and impulse response function and variance decomposition. The
findings from the impulse response and variance decomposition analyses provide
valuable insights into the interrelationships between fiscal deficits, inflation, and
economic growth in Nigeria. While inflation is primarily driven by its own history, the
influence of GDP and employment grows over time, suggesting that fiscal and
monetary policies targeting both inflation and economic growth will be crucial for
stabilizing the economy in the long run. Base on the findings of the study, the
researcher recommend among others that given that inflation is largely self-driven in
the short term, it is critical for policymakers to focus on controlling factors that can
exacerbate inflationary pressures, such as excessive money supply growth or external
shocks.
Keywords:
Budget deficit, inflation, economic growth, JEL Classification: E03, H63, C32